The final poll, conducted three days before the election and conducted by the Des Moines Register in Iowa, showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by three points.
The shock poll shows a 7-point change from Trump to Harris from September, when the same poll showed Trump with a 4-point lead over the vice president (47% to 43%). It was done.
“No one can say they saw this coming,” J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Company, the polling firm that conducted the poll, told the newspaper on Saturday. “She has clearly risen to a leading position.”
The poll was conducted Oct. 28-31 and puts Harris' lead within a 3.4 percentage point margin of error.
Still, this poll appears to be an outlier. Another poll released Saturday by Emerson College showed Trump with a 10-point lead (53% to 43%), and he maintains a decent lead in other polls.
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The final poll, conducted three days before the election and conducted by the Des Moines Register in Iowa, showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by three points. (AP Photo/Jacqueline Martin, Brandon Bell/Getty Images)
According to the Des Moines Register, the Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll measuring support in the Hawkeye State is nationally recognized and its final results reflect the state's results in the 2016 and 2020 elections. It is said that he was
A 2016 poll showed Trump with a seven-point lead over Hillary Clinton, and a 2020 poll showed the same lead over President Biden.
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Halloween display by Trump supporters in Iowa. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc, via Getty Images)
Although Iowa is not considered a battleground state, it is geographically close to the Rust Belt battleground states of Pennsylvania and Michigan and borders Wisconsin.
The same poll conducted in June showed Trump with an 18-point lead over Biden, but he withdrew from the race in July due to inconsistent debate performance.
According to the paper, polls on November 2 show that Harris has increased support among women in a race with a historic gender disparity, as the vice president has made the issue of abortion a central part of his campaign. was shown.
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The remaining 9% of those surveyed said they would vote for another candidate, did not know who they would vote for, or had no plans to vote. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who withdrew from the race as an independent candidate and supported Mr. Trump, received 3% in the poll.
