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The baby bust and its potentially devastating consequences have attracted attention both worldwide and the public.
Elon Musk recently warned once again that lower US fertility rates pose a greater threat to civilization than climate change or war. “Without children, there is no civilization,” he wrote to X.
A new study from the Institute of Family Research shows that his technopolygamos solutions and lifestyle are not a good approach for society, nor is it particularly good approach for his children.
Married people continue to enjoy levels above alternative levels of fertility. (istock)
It is important to recognize that flight from marriage and the mindset that propelled it is causing a collapse in fertility rates. Married people continue to enjoy levels above alternative levels of fertility. The challenge is that there are too few married people today.
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Reports have revealed that President Donald Trump's administration is considering a $5,000 “baby bonus” for his new mother to provide policy incentives. The administration must focus on the fertility of a married person on its incentive.
The American left has long understood that law is a moral teacher, and they are willing to use it to teach their own, ever-changing brand of morality. Mahmoud vs. Taylor, a recent Supreme Court case, is just a small, vivid example of this trend, where progressive pushes radical sexual ideology into the 5-year-old.
Therefore, the law should not be agnostic about what fertility is beneficial for the prosperity of the nation and its citizens. A mountain of research shows that on average, children born into married homes thrive more on almost every level.
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These children cost far less states. They are often less likely to require large state and philanthropic investments to mitigate the long-term outcomes that arise from home life.
We should be calmly reminded of the “trust in science” crowd that children, adults and society will benefit disproportionately from married families. And historically, a family with a married two-parent has become the most advanced civilization in world history.
We've known this for decades. In the 1940s, Harvard sociologist Carl Zimmerman identified three family structures that shaped civilization. It is a council member's family, domestic family, atomized family.
In the trustee's family, the large family is sacred and the individual is subordinate to the interests of the group. This model appears at times when state power is weak.
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As society matures, they often evolve into a domestic family model, which balances individual freedom and family duties. This structure promotes trust, stability, and cohesion that enables markets, institutions and democratic norms to flourish.
Zimmerman traced this rise of this family model to an era of cultural and civilized growth, when Christian teaching helped repeat social structures after the fall of Rome, as in medieval Europe.
History also shows what will happen next. Atomized families are once again dominating, and we are witnessing the results in real time.
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In this model, individuals are the best and family duties are eliminated. Marriage becomes a convenient contract, easily entered and finished easily. Children are often seen as options or burdens. Zimmerman warned that once this model becomes dominant, society will become increasingly self-absorbed, unstable and violent.
That's exactly where we find ourselves today. Mental health crisis, suicides among young people, and massive loneliness are ramping. Birth rates are falling not only in the US, but across developed countries. As social trust is eroded and isolation increases, communities are falling apart.
Can government policies reverse this trend? There is much evidence that a resurrection of the Christian faith is necessary. But we know from the civil rights movement that law can play an important role as moral teachers. The proposed “baby bonus” can provide a powerful moral voice that has the effect of amplifying private behaviour and fussing resurrection when bound by married fertility.
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The church can lead here. Despite all this broken things, two-thirds of Gen Z say they are still excited about marriage. Frequently hunger for families has not disappeared – it's just hunger for vision, guidance, hope. All dating apps on the planet just made human connections cheaper when 85% of the church spend nothing on relationships or marriage ministry.
Churches have the opportunity to provide a “real” community that could lead to the relationship revolution that will create the next baby boom.
Throughout history, Christian faith has been the dominant force of civilization renewal. After the fall of Rome, church leaders like Augustine and Basil the Great promoted families in the country as a stabilizing force. Their vision helped to mark the arrival of the Middle Ages, including increasing social trust, the birth of universities, and the rise of modern markets and laws.
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A similar update is needed today. Washington and Wall Street can play some role. But the bigger role is to play at home or at a local church. If all believers promise to cultivate healthy, faithful relationships, and all churches promise to equip them, we could cause more powerful cultural change than any policy proposal.
This is not naive optimism. It is a historically grounded hope. The collapse of past civilizations was inevitable – and not ours either. The family can be rebuilt. Marriage can be restored. Communities can be updated. But it takes vision, courage and commitment.
For more information about JP de Gance, click here
